Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓73% · @1.35
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓92% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.43
America de Cali vs Jaguares: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Jaguares travel to face America de Cali on Monday 23 February in the Primera A, with Olimpico Pascual Guerrero the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, America de Cali are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 18 matches; Jaguares are 19th (in the drop zone) with 13. There are 23 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give America de Cali 2.2 xG, Jaguares 0.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – America de Cali 73%, draw 19%, Jaguares 8%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: America de Cali 2–0 Jaguares. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
America de Cali73%fair 1.37 · @1.35
Draw19%fair 5.31 · @4.45
Jaguares8%fair 12.09 · @10.00
2.76Expected goals
2.18America de Cali xG
0.58Jaguares xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
3–16%
From our goals model: America de Cali 2.2 – 0.6 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
America de Cali
Jaguares
Attack vs Primera A average
+14%
-16%
Goals conceded vs average
-32%
+42%
Our expected goals here
2.39
0.61
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Double chance
America de Cali or draw✓
92%
1.09
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
America de Cali (draw no bet)✓
90%
1.11
–
Asian handicap
America de Cali -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.30
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.10
First team to score
America de Cali to score first✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
America de Cali ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✓
49%
2.03
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.43
–
Recent results
America de Cali – last 2
LW
19 Feb
@ Junior
1–2
L
14 Feb
vs Santa Fe
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Jaguares – last 1
W
18 Feb
vs Santa Fe
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Jaguares.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Jaguares?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win America de Cali vs Jaguares?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jaguares 8%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Jaguares?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Jaguares?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 2–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Jaguares?
America de Cali vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
