Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCucuta to win ✓37% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.41
Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Monday 23 February: Cucuta v Deportes Tolima in the Primera A, played at Estadio General Santander. In the table, Cucuta are 11th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cucuta 1.2 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cucuta 37%, draw 28%, Deportes Tolima 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cucuta 1–1 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cucuta37%fair 2.67 · @2.40
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.05
Deportes Tolima35%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.38Expected goals
1.23Cucuta xG
1.15Deportes Tolima xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Cucuta 1.2 – 1.1 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
Attack vs Primera A average
-10%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.24
1.13
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cucuta to win✓
37%
2.67
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Cucuta (draw no bet)✓
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Tolima +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Cucuta to score first
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cucuta / FT Cucuta✗
22%
4.59
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.41
–
Recent results
Cucuta – last 1
D
17 Feb
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportes Tolima – last 2
WW
20 Feb
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Once Caldas
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cucuta and Deportes Tolima.
What is the prediction for Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Cucuta have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportes Tolima 35%.
How many goals will there be in Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Cucuta 1–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima?
Cucuta vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 23 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Santander.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
