Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 53% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultDeportivo Pasto to win51% · @1.65
Double chanceDeportivo Pasto or draw78% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.31
Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 March the Primera A brings Deportivo Pasto against Cucuta at Estadio Departamental Libertad. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Pasto are 18th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 18 matches; Cucuta are 11th (lower half) with 24.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Pasto 1.4 xG, Cucuta 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Pasto 51%, draw 27%, Cucuta 22%.
Lower-risk option: Deportivo Pasto or draw (78%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Cucuta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportivo Pasto51%fair 1.95 · @1.65
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.60
Cucuta22%fair 4.51 · @5.50
2.44Expected goals
1.39Deportivo Pasto xG
1.05Cucuta xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pasto 1.4 – 1.0 Cucuta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportivo Pasto
Cucuta
Attack vs Primera A average
-29%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
+22%
+6%
Our expected goals here
1.11
1.16
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Pasto to win
51%
1.95
1.65
Double chance
Deportivo Pasto or draw
78%
1.28
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportivo Pasto (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Cucuta +1 (Asian handicap)
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.48
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
58%
1.72
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Deportivo Pasto to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Pasto / FT Deportivo Pasto
26%
3.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Deportivo Pasto – last 2
DD
21 Feb
@ Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cucuta – last 2
WD
23 Feb
vs Deportes Tolima
3–2
W
17 Feb
@ Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pasto and Cucuta.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
On our numbers Deportivo Pasto have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Cucuta 22%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pasto 1–1 Cucuta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta?
Deportivo Pasto vs Cucuta (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Departamental Libertad.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
