Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtletico Nacional to win ✓70% · @1.30
Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓91% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atletico Nacional welcome Llaneros to Estadio Atanasio Girardot for a Primera A fixture on Saturday 14 March (02:30 WAT). In the table, Atletico Nacional are 1st, leading the league, on 39 points after 18 matches; Llaneros are 12th (lower half) with 23. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atletico Nacional, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Junior, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Llaneros, last 3: WDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jaguares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Nacional 2.1 xG, Llaneros 0.7 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Nacional 70%, draw 20%, Llaneros 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Atletico Nacional to win (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atletico Nacional70%fair 1.43 · @1.30
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.60
Llaneros9%fair 10.57 · @9.50
2.81Expected goals
2.11Atletico Nacional xG
0.70Llaneros xG
51%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–013%
3–09%
2–19%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.1 – 0.7 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atletico Nacional
Llaneros
Attack vs Primera A average
+48%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+3%
Our expected goals here
2.23
0.79
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
70%
1.43
1.30
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Atletico Nacional (draw no bet)✓
88%
1.13
–
Asian handicap
Atletico Nacional -1 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Atletico Nacional to score first✓
71%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✓
46%
2.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Atletico Nacional – last 6
WLLWWL
11 Mar
@ Junior
4–0
W
5 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Santa Fe
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Alianza Valledupar
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Llaneros – last 3
WDD
9 Mar
vs Jaguares
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Llaneros.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Llaneros 9%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros?
Atletico Nacional vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
