Junior vs Fortaleza FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fortaleza FC travel to face Junior on Monday 16 March in the Primera A, with Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez the venue – the ball rolls at 02:30 WAT. In the table, Junior are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Fortaleza FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Junior, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Atletico Nacional, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.6 conceded per game.
Fortaleza FC, last 4: WDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jaguares, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Junior 1.9 xG, Fortaleza FC 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Junior 61%, draw 24%, Fortaleza FC 15%.
Lower-risk option: Junior or draw (85%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Junior 2–0 Fortaleza FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Junior61%fair 1.63 · @1.65
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.65
Fortaleza FC15%fair 6.80 · @5.30
2.78Expected goals
1.92Junior xG
0.86Fortaleza FC xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Junior 1.9 – 0.9 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Junior
Fortaleza FC
Attack vs Primera A average
+13%
-19%
Goals conceded vs average
+7%
+21%
Our expected goals here
2.01
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Junior to win✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Double chance
Junior or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.95
Draw no bet
Junior (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Junior -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
50%
2.00
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.09
First team to score
Junior to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Junior ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Junior / FT Junior✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Junior – last 5
LDWLW
11 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
0–4
L
6 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jaguares
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Santa Fe
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs America de Cali
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Fortaleza FC – last 4
WDWL
5 Mar
vs Jaguares
2–1
W
2 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
16 Feb
vs Chico
2–1
W
13 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
1–4
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Junior and Fortaleza FC.
What is the prediction for Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
On our numbers Junior have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortaleza FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
Our predicted score is Junior 2–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Junior vs Fortaleza FC?
Junior vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 16 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
