Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultBucaramanga to win ✗54% · @1.84
Double chanceBucaramanga or draw ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.68
Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:30 WAT, Thursday 19 March: Bucaramanga v Once Caldas in the Primera A, played at Estadio Américo Montanini. In the table, Bucaramanga are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 18 matches; Once Caldas are 8th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Bucaramanga, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Deportivo Pereira, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Once Caldas, last 4: WWWL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Deportivo Pasto, at home. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bucaramanga 1.6 xG, Once Caldas 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bucaramanga 54%, draw 25%, Once Caldas 21%.
Lower-risk option: Bucaramanga or draw (79%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bucaramanga or draw (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bucaramanga 1–0 Once Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bucaramanga54%fair 1.86 · @1.84
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Once Caldas21%fair 4.79 · @4.45
2.45Expected goals
1.58Bucaramanga xG
0.87Once Caldas xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Bucaramanga 1.6 – 0.9 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
Attack vs Primera A average
+27%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.53
0.84
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win✗
54%
1.86
1.84
Double chance
Bucaramanga or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.95
Draw no bet
Bucaramanga (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Once Caldas +1 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
1.07
First team to score
Bucaramanga to score first
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga✗
33%
3.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.68
–
Recent results
Bucaramanga – last 3
WLW
11 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
3–0
W
6 Mar
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Once Caldas – last 4
WWWL
14 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
4–2
W
7 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Chico
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bucaramanga and Once Caldas.
What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Bucaramanga or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Bucaramanga have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Once Caldas 21%.
How many goals will there be in Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Bucaramanga 1–0 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas?
Bucaramanga vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Thursday 19 March 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Américo Montanini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
