Double chanceIndependiente Medellin or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Independiente Medellin vs Junior: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 20 March the Primera A brings Independiente Medellin against Junior at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Kick-off: 02:30 WAT. In the table, Independiente Medellin are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 18 matches; Junior are 14th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Independiente Medellin, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jaguares, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Junior, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fortaleza FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Independiente Medellin 1.8 xG, Junior 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Independiente Medellin 56%, draw 23%, Junior 21%.
Lower-risk option: Independiente Medellin or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Independiente Medellin 1–1 Junior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Independiente Medellin56%fair 1.77 · @1.71
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.75
Junior21%fair 4.83 · @4.55
2.98Expected goals
1.85Independiente Medellin xG
1.13Junior xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Independiente Medellin 1.8 – 1.1 Junior expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Independiente Medellin
Junior
Attack vs Primera A average
+16%
+13%
Goals conceded vs average
+6%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.83
1.27
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Independiente Medellin to win✓
56%
1.77
1.71
Double chance
Independiente Medellin or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
1.75
Draw no bet
Independiente Medellin (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
Junior +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.12
First team to score
Independiente Medellin to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Independiente Medellin ahead at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Independiente Medellin / FT Independiente Medellin✓
34%
2.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Independiente Medellin – last 6
WWDLDD
16 Mar
@ Jaguares
2–1
W
13 Mar
vs Juventud
2–1
W
6 Mar
@ Juventud
1–1
D
1 Mar
vs Bucaramanga
1–2
L
25 Feb
vs Liverpool Montevideo
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Llaneros
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Junior – last 6
WLDWLW
16 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–1
W
11 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
0–4
L
6 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
1 Mar
@ Jaguares
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Santa Fe
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs America de Cali
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Independiente Medellin and Junior.
What is the prediction for Independiente Medellin vs Junior?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Independiente Medellin vs Junior?
On our numbers Independiente Medellin have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Junior 21%.
How many goals will there be in Independiente Medellin vs Junior?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Independiente Medellin vs Junior?
Our predicted score is Independiente Medellin 1–1 Junior, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Independiente Medellin vs Junior?
Independiente Medellin vs Junior (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 20 March 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
