Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✗51% · @1.86
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓77% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Chico vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 23 March the Primera A brings Chico against Deportes Tolima at Estadio La Independencia. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Chico, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Deportivo Pasto, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.
Deportes Tolima, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Fortaleza FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportes Tolima, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.6 for Chico.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chico 0.9 xG, Deportes Tolima 1.4 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 23%, draw 26%, Deportes Tolima 51%.
Lower-risk option: Deportes Tolima or draw (77%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.05.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 0–1 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chico23%fair 4.35 · @4.20
Draw26%fair 3.86 · @3.40
Deportes Tolima51%fair 1.96 · @1.86
2.29Expected goals
0.91Chico xG
1.39Deportes Tolima xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–113%
0–010%
0–210%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Chico 0.9 – 1.4 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Chico
Deportes Tolima
Attack vs Primera A average
-30%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
+21%
-7%
Our expected goals here
0.97
1.29
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✗
51%
1.96
1.86
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
77%
1.30
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
2.05
Draw no bet
Deportes Tolima (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Chico +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
First team to score
Deportes Tolima to score first✗
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✗
28%
3.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Chico – last 5
LWLLL
18 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Millonarios
2–1
W
28 Feb
@ Once Caldas
0–3
L
23 Feb
vs Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
16 Feb
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
0.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WWLWLW
20 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Cucuta
2–3
L
20 Feb
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chico and Deportes Tolima.
What is the prediction for Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Chico have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportes Tolima 51%.
How many goals will there be in Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Chico 0–1 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Chico vs Deportes Tolima?
Chico vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
