Bucaramanga 54%Draw 27%Santa Fe 19%Expected goals 1.51 – 0.88
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBucaramanga to win ✗54% · @1.81
Double chanceBucaramanga or draw ✗81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.88
Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 28 March the Primera A brings Bucaramanga against Santa Fe at Estadio Américo Montanini. Kick-off: 02:10 WAT. In the table, Bucaramanga are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bucaramanga, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Junior, away. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Santa Fe, last 5: WDDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Independiente Medellin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bucaramanga 1.5 xG, Santa Fe 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bucaramanga 54%, draw 27%, Santa Fe 19%.
Lower-risk option: Bucaramanga or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bucaramanga 1–0 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bucaramanga54%fair 1.84 · @1.81
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.30
Santa Fe19%fair 5.20 · @4.65
2.39Expected goals
1.51Bucaramanga xG
0.88Santa Fe xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–09%
0–18%
From our goals model: Bucaramanga 1.5 – 0.9 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
Attack vs Primera A average
+27%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-16%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.55
1.06
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win✗
54%
1.84
1.81
Double chance
Bucaramanga or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Bucaramanga (draw no bet)✗
74%
1.35
–
Asian handicap
Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.05
First team to score
Bucaramanga to score first
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga✗
31%
3.21
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.88
–
Recent results
Bucaramanga – last 5
LDWLW
25 Mar
@ Junior
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
3–0
W
6 Mar
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
WDDLWL
23 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Junior
2–1
W
18 Feb
@ Jaguares
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bucaramanga and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Bucaramanga have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Santa Fe 19%.
How many goals will there be in Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Bucaramanga 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Américo Montanini.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
