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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cucuta v Chico: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio General Santander

Cucuta

DDLWD
Sat 28 Mar 2026

Chico

DLWLL
Cucuta 57%Draw 25%Chico 19% Expected goals 1.73 – 0.87
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.25

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultCucuta to win57% · @1.67
Double chanceCucuta or draw81% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.35

Cucuta vs Chico: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

22:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Cucuta v Chico in the Primera A, played at Estadio General Santander. In the table, Cucuta are 11th, lower half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Chico are 15th (lower half) with 19.

Current form

Cucuta, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Deportivo Pereira, away. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Chico, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Deportes Tolima, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Cucuta, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Chico.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cucuta 1.7 xG, Chico 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cucuta 57%, draw 25%, Chico 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Cucuta or draw (81%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cucuta 1–0 Chico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cucuta57%fair 1.76 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.50
Chico19%fair 5.40 · @5.30
2.60Expected goals
1.73Cucuta xG
0.87Chico xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%

From our goals model: Cucuta 1.7 – 0.9 Chico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CucutaChico
Attack vs Primera A average-10%-30%
Goals conceded vs average+6%+21%
Our expected goals here1.610.79

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCucuta to win57%1.761.67
Double chanceCucuta or draw81%1.231.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score53%1.882.00 ▲
Draw no betCucuta (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapChico +1.5 (Asian handicap)67%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals71%1.411.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals54%1.871.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals74%1.341.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals88%1.141.08
First team to scoreCucuta to score first62%1.62–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cucuta / FT Cucuta36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110%10.35–

Recent results

Cucuta – last 5

DDLWD
24 Mar@ Deportivo Pereira2–2D
17 Mar@ Llaneros2–2D
10 Mar@ Millonarios0–2L
23 Febvs Deportes Tolima3–2W
17 Feb@ Alianza Valledupar1–1D
1.6Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
80%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Chico – last 6

DLWLLL
23 Marvs Deportes Tolima1–1D
18 Mar@ Deportivo Pasto0–2L
15 Marvs Millonarios2–1W
28 Feb@ Once Caldas0–3L
23 Febvs Águilas Doradas0–1L
16 Feb@ Fortaleza FC1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Cucuta and Chico.

Cucuta vs Chico head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cucuta vs Chico?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Cucuta vs Chico?

On our numbers Cucuta have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Chico 19%.

How many goals will there be in Cucuta vs Chico?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cucuta vs Chico?

Our predicted score is Cucuta 1–0 Chico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Cucuta vs Chico?

Cucuta vs Chico (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio General Santander.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.