Llaneros vs Once Caldas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:00 WAT, Monday 30 March: Llaneros v Once Caldas in the Primera A, played at Estadio Bello Horizonte. In the table, Llaneros are 12th, lower half, on 23 points after 18 matches; Once Caldas are 8th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Llaneros, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with America de Cali, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Once Caldas, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Millonarios, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Once Caldas, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Llaneros.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Llaneros 1.3 xG, Once Caldas 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Llaneros 36%, draw 28%, Once Caldas 36%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Llaneros36%fair 2.77 · @2.72
Draw28%fair 3.63 · @3.25
Once Caldas36%fair 2.75 · @2.54
2.47Expected goals
1.25Llaneros xG
1.22Once Caldas xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Llaneros 1.3 – 1.2 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Llaneros
Once Caldas
Attack vs Primera A average
-8%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
-18%
Our expected goals here
1.12
1.03
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✗
36%
2.75
2.54
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.62
Draw no bet
Once Caldas (draw no bet)
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
Once Caldas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.16
1.13
First team to score
Llaneros to score first
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Llaneros / FT Llaneros✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.75
–
Recent results
Llaneros – last 6
DDLWDD
26 Mar
@ America de Cali
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
0–2
L
9 Mar
vs Jaguares
2–0
W
6 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Independiente Medellin
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Once Caldas – last 6
LDWWWL
22 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–4
L
19 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
4–2
W
7 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Chico
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Llaneros and Once Caldas.
What is the prediction for Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Llaneros have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Once Caldas 36%.
How many goals will there be in Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Llaneros 1–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Llaneros vs Once Caldas?
Llaneros vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 30 March 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bello Horizonte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
