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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Millonarios v Fortaleza FC: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
2–2
FT
Millonarios 63%Draw 23%Fortaleza FC 14% Expected goals 1.97 – 0.75
74%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds

Picks by market

ResultMillonarios to win ✗63% · @1.57
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.43

Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Tuesday 31 March the Primera A brings Millonarios against Fortaleza FC at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin. Kick-off: 02:20 WAT. In the table, Millonarios are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Fortaleza FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Millonarios, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Once Caldas, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.

Fortaleza FC, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Deportivo Pasto, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Millonarios, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for Fortaleza FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Millonarios 2.0 xG, Fortaleza FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 52%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Millonarios 63%, draw 23%, Fortaleza FC 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millonarios 2–0 Fortaleza FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Millonarios63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.80
Fortaleza FC14%fair 7.04 · @5.90
2.72Expected goals
1.97Millonarios xG
0.75Fortaleza FC xG
52%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Millonarios 2.0 – 0.8 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

MillonariosFortaleza FC
Attack vs Primera A average+17%-19%
Goals conceded vs average-19%+21%
Our expected goals here2.090.70

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillonarios to win ✗63%1.581.57
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓86%1.171.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.921.95
Draw no betMillonarios (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapMillonarios -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.361.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.991.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.401.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.171.10
First team to scoreMillonarios to score first68%1.48–
Half-time resultMillonarios ahead at half-time ✓47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millonarios / FT Millonarios ✗42%2.36–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.43–

Recent results

Millonarios – last 6

WWLWWW
22 Mar@ Once Caldas4–1W
18 Marvs Atletico Nacional3–0W
15 Mar@ Chico1–2L
10 Marvs Cucuta2–0W
5 Mar@ Atletico Nacional3–1W
27 Febvs Deportivo Pereira5–1W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Fortaleza FC – last 6

LLLWDW
25 Marvs Deportivo Pasto1–2L
20 Mar@ Deportes Tolima0–2L
16 Mar@ Junior1–2L
5 Marvs Jaguares2–1W
2 Mar@ Deportivo Cali1–1D
16 Febvs Chico2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Fortaleza FC.

Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC?

On our numbers Millonarios have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fortaleza FC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC?

Our predicted score is Millonarios 2–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC?

Millonarios vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 31 March 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.