Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓53% · @1.73
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓79% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.35
Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:00 WAT, Wednesday 1 April: Deportes Tolima v Águilas Doradas in the Primera A, played at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Águilas Doradas are 10th (upper half) with 25. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Jaguares, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Águilas Doradas, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Alianza Valledupar, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.4 xG, Águilas Doradas 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 53%, draw 26%, Águilas Doradas 21%.
Lower-risk option: Deportes Tolima or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Águilas Doradas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima53%fair 1.89 · @1.73
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.50
Águilas Doradas21%fair 4.78 · @4.85
2.26Expected goals
1.41Deportes Tolima xG
0.85Águilas Doradas xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–010%
2–010%
0–19%
2–19%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.4 – 0.8 Águilas Doradas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportes Tolima
Águilas Doradas
Attack vs Primera A average
+1%
-7%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
-9%
Our expected goals here
1.34
0.92
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.84
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportes Tolima (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Águilas Doradas +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
1.07
First team to score
Deportes Tolima to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✗
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.35
–
Recent results
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WDWWLW
29 Mar
vs Jaguares
3–1
W
23 Mar
@ Chico
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Águilas Doradas – last 4
WDLW
27 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs America de Cali
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Chico
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Águilas Doradas.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Águilas Doradas 21%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Águilas Doradas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas?
Deportes Tolima vs Águilas Doradas (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 1 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
