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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jaguares v Millonarios: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Jaraguay
1–0
FT
Jaguares 20%Draw 25%Millonarios 55% Expected goals 0.96 – 1.73
80%
Betarazi pick

Millonarios or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultMillonarios to win ✗55% · @1.88
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✗80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.25

Jaguares vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:20 WAT, Friday 3 April: Jaguares v Millonarios in the Primera A, played at Estadio Jaraguay. In the table, Jaguares are 19th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 18 matches; Millonarios are 7th (upper half) with 27. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Jaguares, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Deportes Tolima, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Millonarios, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Fortaleza FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Millonarios, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.2 for Jaguares.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jaguares 1.0 xG, Millonarios 1.7 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jaguares 20%, draw 25%, Millonarios 55%.
  • Lower-risk option: Millonarios or draw (80%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Millonarios or draw (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jaguares 0–1 Millonarios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jaguares20%fair 5.08 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.35
Millonarios55%fair 1.80 · @1.88
2.70Expected goals
0.96Jaguares xG
1.73Millonarios xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Jaguares 1.0 – 1.7 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

JaguaresMillonarios
Attack vs Primera A average-16%+17%
Goals conceded vs average+42%-19%
Our expected goals here1.011.76

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMillonarios to win ✗55%1.801.88
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✗80%1.251.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.961.90
Draw no betMillonarios (draw no bet) ✗74%1.36–
Asian handicapJaguares +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗72%1.381.36
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.921.73
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.08
First team to scoreMillonarios to score first ✗60%1.67–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Millonarios / FT Millonarios ✗34%2.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.25–

Recent results

Jaguares – last 6

LDLLLL
29 Mar@ Deportes Tolima1–3L
24 Marvs Águilas Doradas1–1D
19 Mar@ Alianza Valledupar0–1L
16 Marvs Independiente Medellin1–2L
9 Mar@ Llaneros0–2L
5 Mar@ Fortaleza FC1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Millonarios – last 6

DWWLWW
31 Marvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
22 Mar@ Once Caldas4–1W
18 Marvs Atletico Nacional3–0W
15 Mar@ Chico1–2L
10 Marvs Cucuta2–0W
5 Mar@ Atletico Nacional3–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Millonarios.

Jaguares vs Millonarios head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jaguares vs Millonarios?

Our pick is Millonarios or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Jaguares vs Millonarios?

On our numbers Jaguares have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Millonarios 55%.

How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Millonarios?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Millonarios?

Our predicted score is Jaguares 0–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Jaguares vs Millonarios?

Jaguares vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 3 April 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.