Millonarios 52%Draw 27%Santa Fe 22%Expected goals 1.55 – 0.99
78%
Betarazi pick
Millonarios or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultMillonarios to win52% · @1.82
Double chanceMillonarios or draw78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.66
Millonarios vs Santa Fe: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Fe travel to face Millonarios on Sunday 12 April in the Primera A – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Millonarios are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Santa Fe are 5th (upper half) with 31.
Current form
Millonarios, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to O'Higgins, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Santa Fe, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Penarol, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millonarios 1.6 xG, Santa Fe 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millonarios 52%, draw 27%, Santa Fe 22%.
Lower-risk option: Millonarios or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Millonarios or draw (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millonarios 1–0 Santa Fe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millonarios52%fair 1.94 · @1.82
Draw27%fair 3.72 · @3.45
Santa Fe22%fair 4.65 · @4.40
2.54Expected goals
1.55Millonarios xG
0.99Santa Fe xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–112%
2–09%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.6 – 1.0 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Millonarios
Santa Fe
Attack vs Primera A average
+17%
+19%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.02
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win
52%
1.94
1.82
Double chance
Millonarios or draw
78%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.92
1.85
Draw no bet
Millonarios (draw no bet)
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
53%
1.89
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Millonarios to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Millonarios – last 6
LLDWWL
8 Apr
@ O'Higgins
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Jaguares
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Once Caldas
4–1
W
18 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Chico
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
DDLWWD
10 Apr
vs Penarol
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Deportes Tolima
2–2
D
2 Apr
vs Llaneros
0–1
L
28 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Millonarios or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Santa Fe 22%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Santa Fe?
Millonarios vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
