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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Cali v Fortaleza FC: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Deportivo Cali
Deportivo Cali 62%Draw 24%Fortaleza FC 14% Expected goals 1.75 – 0.57
66%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1

Value bet: Deportivo Cali to win @ 1.72 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Cali to win ✗62% · @1.72
Double chanceDeportivo Cali or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.83

Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:10 WAT, Monday 2 March: Deportivo Cali v Fortaleza FC in the Primera A, played at Estadio Deportivo Cali. In the table, Deportivo Cali are 3rd, among the top four, on 34 points after 18 matches; Fortaleza FC are 20th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Cali 1.8 xG, Fortaleza FC 0.6 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Cali 62%, draw 24%, Fortaleza FC 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cali or draw (86%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.62.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Cali to win @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Cali 2–0 Fortaleza FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Cali62%fair 1.62 · @1.72
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.35
Fortaleza FC14%fair 7.26 · @5.25
2.32Expected goals
1.75Deportivo Cali xG
0.57Fortaleza FC xG
47%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–010%
3–09%
2–19%

From our goals model: Deportivo Cali 1.8 – 0.6 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Deportivo CaliFortaleza FC
Attack vs Primera A average+5%-19%
Goals conceded vs average-47%+21%
Our expected goals here1.880.46

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Cali to win ✗62%1.621.72 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Cali or draw ✓86%1.161.15
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.901.62
Draw no betDeportivo Cali (draw no bet)82%1.22–
Asian handicapDeportivo Cali -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.521.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.55
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreDeportivo Cali to score first ✓68%1.47–
Half-time resultDeportivo Cali ahead at half-time ✓45%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Cali / FT Deportivo Cali ✗42%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17%5.83–

Recent results

Deportivo Cali – last 1

W
16 Febvs Atletico Nacional1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Fortaleza FC – last 2

WL
16 Febvs Chico2–1W
13 Feb@ Atletico Nacional1–4L
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Cali and Fortaleza FC.

Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

On our numbers Deportivo Cali have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Fortaleza FC 14%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Cali 2–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC?

Deportivo Cali vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Deportivo Cali.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.