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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Chico v Deportivo Cali: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio La Independencia

Chico

LWDLW
1–0
FT
Chico 23%Draw 28%Deportivo Cali 49% Expected goals 0.72 – 1.38
77%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Cali or draw

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.28 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.28Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Cali to win ✗49% · @2.14
Double chanceDeportivo Cali or draw ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.93

Chico vs Deportivo Cali: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Cali travel to face Chico on Friday 17 April in the Primera A, with Estadio La Independencia the venue – the ball rolls at 22:00 WAT. In the table, Chico are 15th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Cali are 3rd (among the top four) with 34. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Chico, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Bucaramanga, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Deportivo Cali, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Junior, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Deportivo Cali, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Chico.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Chico 0.7 xG, Deportivo Cali 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Chico 23%, draw 28%, Deportivo Cali 49%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Cali or draw (77%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.10.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Cali or draw (77%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chico 0–1 Deportivo Cali. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Chico23%fair 4.31 · @3.55
Draw28%fair 3.60 · @3.10
Deportivo Cali49%fair 2.04 · @2.14
2.10Expected goals
0.72Chico xG
1.38Deportivo Cali xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–117%
0–012%
1–112%
0–212%
1–09%
1–28%

From our goals model: Chico 0.7 – 1.4 Deportivo Cali expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

ChicoDeportivo Cali
Attack vs Primera A average-30%+5%
Goals conceded vs average+21%-47%
Our expected goals here0.551.35

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Cali to win ✗49%2.042.14
Double chanceDeportivo Cali or draw ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.962.10 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo Cali (draw no bet) ✗68%1.47–
Asian handicapChico +1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗63%1.591.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓63%1.581.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.18
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.05
First team to scoreDeportivo Cali to score first ✗58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Cali / FT Deportivo Cali ✗31%3.21–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%11.93–

Recent results

Chico – last 6

LWDLWL
13 Apr@ Bucaramanga0–5L
2 Aprvs Deportivo Pereira1–0W
23 Marvs Deportes Tolima1–1D
18 Mar@ Deportivo Pasto0–2L
15 Marvs Millonarios2–1W
28 Feb@ Once Caldas0–3L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Cali – last 6

WWDLDW
4 Apr@ Junior2–1W
29 Marvs Deportivo Pereira1–0W
19 Marvs Santa Fe1–1D
7 Marvs Once Caldas0–2L
2 Marvs Fortaleza FC1–1D
16 Febvs Atletico Nacional1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Chico and Deportivo Cali.

Chico vs Deportivo Cali head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Chico vs Deportivo Cali?

Our pick is Deportivo Cali or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Chico vs Deportivo Cali?

On our numbers Chico have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Deportivo Cali 49%.

How many goals will there be in Chico vs Deportivo Cali?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Chico vs Deportivo Cali?

Our predicted score is Chico 0–1 Deportivo Cali, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Chico vs Deportivo Cali?

Chico vs Deportivo Cali (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 17 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Independencia.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.