Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDeportes Tolima to win ✓68% · @1.29
Double chanceDeportes Tolima or draw ✓89% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.53
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportes Tolima welcome Deportivo Pereira to Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro for a Primera A fixture on Sunday 19 April (00:10 WAT). In the table, Deportes Tolima are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 18 matches; Deportivo Pereira are 17th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Deportes Tolima, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Club Nacional, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Deportivo Pereira, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Once Caldas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Deportes Tolima, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Deportivo Pereira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Deportes Tolima 1.9 xG, Deportivo Pereira 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Deportes Tolima 68%, draw 20%, Deportivo Pereira 11%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Deportes Tolima68%fair 1.47 · @1.29
Draw20%fair 4.90 · @4.80
Deportivo Pereira11%fair 8.78 · @11.50
2.64Expected goals
1.91Deportes Tolima xG
0.73Deportivo Pereira xG
51%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.9 – 0.7 Deportivo Pereira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pereira
Attack vs Primera A average
+1%
-20%
Goals conceded vs average
-7%
+19%
Our expected goals here
1.76
0.79
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
68%
1.47
1.29
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Deportes Tolima (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Tolima -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.92
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.17
First team to score
Deportes Tolima to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Deportes Tolima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Deportes Tolima – last 6
LLDDWW
14 Apr
@ Club Nacional
1–3
L
11 Apr
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Universitario
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Santa Fe
2–2
D
1 Apr
vs Águilas Doradas
4–1
W
29 Mar
vs Jaguares
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
DLLLDD
10 Apr
vs Once Caldas
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Alianza Valledupar
2–3
L
2 Apr
@ Chico
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pereira.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Deportivo Pereira 11%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 2–0 Deportivo Pereira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira?
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pereira (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
