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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

America de Cali v Millonarios: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Olimpico Pascual Guerrero
3–1
FT
America de Cali 45%Draw 27%Millonarios 27% Expected goals 1.38 – 0.94
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓45% · @2.12
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37

America de Cali vs Millonarios: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

02:30 WAT, Monday 20 April: America de Cali v Millonarios in the Primera A, played at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. In the table, America de Cali are 2nd, among the top four, on 36 points after 18 matches; Millonarios are 7th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

America de Cali, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alianza Atletico, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Millonarios, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Boston River, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give America de Cali 1.4 xG, Millonarios 0.9 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – America de Cali 45%, draw 27%, Millonarios 27%.
  • Lower-risk option: America de Cali or draw (73%) at 1.28.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: America de Cali 1–0 Millonarios. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

America de Cali45%fair 2.20 · @2.12
Draw27%fair 3.65 · @3.15
Millonarios27%fair 3.68 · @3.60
2.32Expected goals
1.38America de Cali xG
0.94Millonarios xG
53%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: America de Cali 1.4 – 0.9 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

America de CaliMillonarios
Attack vs Primera A average+14%+17%
Goals conceded vs average-32%-19%
Our expected goals here1.370.85

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmerica de Cali to win ✓45%2.202.12
Double chanceAmerica de Cali or draw ✓73%1.371.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.95
Draw no betAmerica de Cali (draw no bet) ✓63%1.60–
Asian handicapMillonarios +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.501.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗59%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79%1.271.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.111.06
First team to scoreAmerica de Cali to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.19–
Half-time / full-timeHT America de Cali / FT America de Cali ✓28%3.61–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

America de Cali – last 6

WDWLDW
16 Aprvs Alianza Atletico2–1W
10 Apr@ Macara1–1D
2 Aprvs Bucaramanga2–0W
31 Mar@ Independiente Medellin1–2L
26 Marvs Llaneros0–0D
20 Mar@ Águilas Doradas1–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Millonarios – last 6

WLLDWW
16 Aprvs Boston River1–0W
8 Apr@ O'Higgins0–2L
3 Apr@ Jaguares0–1L
31 Marvs Fortaleza FC2–2D
22 Mar@ Once Caldas4–1W
18 Marvs Atletico Nacional3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Millonarios.

America de Cali vs Millonarios head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

More Primera A predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Millonarios?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win America de Cali vs Millonarios?

On our numbers America de Cali have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Millonarios 27%.

How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Millonarios?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Millonarios?

Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is America de Cali vs Millonarios?

America de Cali vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.