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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Junior v Llaneros: numbers & prediction

Primera A · Colombia · Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior

LDLWL
2–0
FT
Junior 59%Draw 23%Llaneros 18% Expected goals 1.70 – 0.90
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 54% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultJunior to win ✓59% · @1.52
Double chanceJunior or draw ✓82% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.36

Junior vs Llaneros: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 20 April the Primera A brings Junior against Llaneros at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez. Kick-off: 00:20 WAT. In the table, Junior are 14th, lower half, on 19 points after 18 matches; Llaneros are 12th (lower half) with 23.

Current form

Junior, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Cerro Porteno, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Llaneros, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Santa Fe, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Junior 1.7 xG, Llaneros 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 54%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Junior 59%, draw 23%, Llaneros 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Junior 1–0 Llaneros. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Junior59%fair 1.70 · @1.52
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.80
Llaneros18%fair 5.60 · @6.75
2.60Expected goals
1.70Junior xG
0.90Llaneros xG
54%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Junior 1.7 – 0.9 Llaneros expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

JuniorLlaneros
Attack vs Primera A average+13%-8%
Goals conceded vs average+7%+3%
Our expected goals here1.711.05

Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJunior to win ✓59%1.701.52
Double chanceJunior or draw ✓82%1.221.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.842.00 ▲
Draw no betJunior (draw no bet) ✓77%1.30–
Asian handicapLlaneros +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.381.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.83
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.371.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.10
First team to scoreJunior to score first ✓60%1.65–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Junior / FT Junior ✓35%2.90–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.36–

Recent results

Junior – last 6

LDLWLW
14 Apr@ Cerro Porteno0–1L
9 Aprvs Palmeiras1–1D
4 Aprvs Deportivo Cali1–2L
25 Marvs Bucaramanga2–0W
20 Mar@ Independiente Medellin0–2L
16 Marvs Fortaleza FC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Llaneros – last 6

WDDDLW
2 Apr@ Santa Fe1–0W
30 Marvs Once Caldas1–1D
26 Mar@ America de Cali0–0D
17 Marvs Cucuta2–2D
14 Mar@ Atletico Nacional0–2L
9 Marvs Jaguares2–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Junior and Llaneros.

Junior vs Llaneros head-to-head page →

Primera A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Atletico Nacional191315+2040
2Junior191126+735
3Deportivo Pasto191045+434
4America de Cali191036+1033
5Once Caldas19892+933
6Deportes Tolima19874+1031
7Santa Fe19784+729
8Internacional de Bogota19775028
9Deportivo Cali19766+427
10Millonarios19757+826
11Independiente Medellin19757+226
12Águilas Doradas19757-526
13Bucaramanga19586+623
14Llaneros194105-322
15Fortaleza FC19577-522
16Jaguares195311-1318
17Alianza Valledupar19388-1417
18Chico195212-1717
19Cucuta19379-1316
20Deportivo Pereira191711-1710

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Junior vs Llaneros?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Junior vs Llaneros?

On our numbers Junior have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Llaneros 18%.

How many goals will there be in Junior vs Llaneros?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Junior vs Llaneros?

Our predicted score is Junior 1–0 Llaneros, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Junior vs Llaneros?

Junior vs Llaneros (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.