Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultMillonarios to win ✓55% · @1.90
Double chanceMillonarios or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.47
Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Deportes Tolima travel to face Millonarios on Friday 24 April in the Primera A, with Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Millonarios are 7th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Deportes Tolima are 9th (upper half) with 26. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Millonarios, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to America de Cali, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Deportes Tolima, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Deportivo Pereira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Millonarios 1.7 xG, Deportes Tolima 0.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Millonarios 55%, draw 26%, Deportes Tolima 19%.
Lower-risk option: Millonarios or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Millonarios or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Millonarios 1–0 Deportes Tolima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Millonarios55%fair 1.81 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.35
Deportes Tolima19%fair 5.25 · @4.10
2.53Expected goals
1.65Millonarios xG
0.88Deportes Tolima xG
50%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–112%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Millonarios 1.7 – 0.9 Deportes Tolima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Millonarios
Deportes Tolima
Attack vs Primera A average
+17%
+1%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
-7%
Our expected goals here
1.61
0.87
Our own ratings from every Primera A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millonarios to win✓
55%
1.81
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Millonarios or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Millonarios (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.34
–
Asian handicap
Deportes Tolima +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.09
First team to score
Millonarios to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millonarios / FT Millonarios✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.47
–
Recent results
Millonarios – last 6
LWLLDW
20 Apr
@ America de Cali
1–3
L
16 Apr
vs Boston River
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ O'Higgins
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Jaguares
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Once Caldas
4–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportes Tolima – last 6
WLLDDW
19 Apr
vs Deportivo Pereira
2–0
W
14 Apr
@ Club Nacional
1–3
L
11 Apr
@ Deportivo Pasto
0–1
L
8 Apr
vs Universitario
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Santa Fe
2–2
D
1 Apr
vs Águilas Doradas
4–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Millonarios and Deportes Tolima.
What is the prediction for Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
Our pick is Millonarios or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
On our numbers Millonarios have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportes Tolima 19%.
How many goals will there be in Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
Our predicted score is Millonarios 1–0 Deportes Tolima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima?
Millonarios vs Deportes Tolima (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
