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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo La Guaira v Puerto Cabello: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Venezuela · Estadio Olimpico de la UCV
Deportivo La Guaira 51%Draw 27%Puerto Cabello 22% Expected goals 1.41 – 0.99
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗51% · @1.83
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✓78% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.21

Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 14 March the Primera División brings Deportivo La Guaira against Puerto Cabello at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. Kick-off: 00:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd, among the top four, on 6 points after 5 matches; Puerto Cabello are 3rd (among the top four) with 6. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Puerto Cabello, last 3: WLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Academia Anzoátegui, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo La Guaira 1.4 xG, Puerto Cabello 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo La Guaira 51%, draw 27%, Puerto Cabello 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo La Guaira or draw (78%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Puerto Cabello. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo La Guaira51%fair 1.96 · @1.83
Draw27%fair 3.73 · @3.10
Puerto Cabello22%fair 4.53 · @4.33
2.39Expected goals
1.41Deportivo La Guaira xG
0.99Puerto Cabello xG
56%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–113%
0–09%
2–09%
0–19%
2–19%

From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.4 – 1.0 Puerto Cabello expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗51%1.961.83
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✓78%1.281.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.791.95 ▲
Draw no betDeportivo La Guaira (draw no bet)70%1.43–
Asian handicapPuerto Cabello +1 (Asian handicap) ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.741.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreDeportivo La Guaira to score first ✗53%1.87–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo La Guaira / FT Deportivo La Guaira ✗28%3.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.21–

Recent results

Deportivo La Guaira – last 2

WD
6 Mar@ Estudiantes de Merida FC1–0W
23 Feb@ Zamora FC1–1D
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Puerto Cabello – last 3

WLW
8 Mar@ Academia Anzoátegui1–0W
28 Febvs Estudiantes de Merida FC1–2L
15 Febvs Zamora FC2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Guaira and Puerto Cabello.

Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Metropolitanos FC261763+2657
2Deportivo Tachira FC261565+1851
3Deportivo La Guaira261286+1344
4Carabobo FC2610115+1441
5Puerto Cabello2610106+940
6Portuguesa FC269125+1039
7UCV261169+239
8Estudiantes de Merida FC261079+237
9Caracas FC267118-332
10Monagas SC268513-829
11Zamora FC266713-1525
12Rayo Zuliano267415-2125
13Trujillanos FC264616-2318
14Anzoátegui FC264517-2417

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?

On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Puerto Cabello 22%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?

Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Puerto Cabello, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello?

Deportivo La Guaira vs Puerto Cabello (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.