UCV 51%Draw 26%Estudiantes de Merida FC 23%Expected goals 1.77 – 1.21
77%
Betarazi pick
UCV or draw
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultUCV to win51% · @1.83
Double chanceUCV or draw77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.38
UCV vs Estudiantes de Merida FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estudiantes de Merida FC travel to face UCV on Saturday 14 March in the Primera División, with Estadio Olimpico de la UCV the venue – the ball rolls at 22:30 WAT. In the table, UCV are 10th, lower half, on 16 points after 13 matches; Estudiantes de Merida FC are 9th (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Estudiantes de Merida FC, last 4: LWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Deportivo La Guaira, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give UCV 1.8 xG, Estudiantes de Merida FC 1.2 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – UCV 51%, draw 26%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 23%.
Lower-risk option: UCV or draw (77%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was UCV or draw (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: UCV 1–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
UCV51%fair 1.97 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.30
Estudiantes de Merida FC23%fair 4.36 · @4.00
2.98Expected goals
1.77UCV xG
1.21Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: UCV 1.8 – 1.2 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
UCV to win
51%
1.97
1.83
Double chance
UCV or draw
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
60%
1.66
1.80 ▲
Draw no bet
UCV (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Estudiantes de Merida FC +1 (Asian handicap)
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.22
–
First team to score
UCV to score first
56%
1.77
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT UCV / FT UCV
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.38
–
Recent results
UCV – last 1
W
22 Feb
@ Caracas FC
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 4
LWWL
6 Mar
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Puerto Cabello
2–1
W
23 Feb
@ Academia Anzoátegui
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between UCV and Estudiantes de Merida FC.
What is the prediction for UCV vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is UCV or draw with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win UCV vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers UCV have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 23%.
How many goals will there be in UCV vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is UCV 1–1 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is UCV vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
UCV vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 March 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
