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Gangwon FC v Daejeon Citizen: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Chuncheon Songam Stadium
2–0
FT
Gangwon FC 40%Draw 28%Daejeon Citizen 32% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.06
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2

Value bet: Daejeon Citizen to win @ 3.45 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultGangwon FC to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 13.07

Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:30 WAT, Tuesday 12 May: Gangwon FC v Daejeon Citizen in the K League 1, played at Chuncheon Songam Stadium. In the table, Gangwon FC are 4th on 51 points after 35 matches; Daejeon Citizen are 3rd with 53. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Gangwon FC, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Gwangju FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Daejeon Citizen, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Pohang Steelers, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Daejeon Citizen 0–2 Gangwon FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gangwon FC 1.1 xG, Daejeon Citizen 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gangwon FC 40%, draw 28%, Daejeon Citizen 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Daejeon Citizen to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gangwon FC 1–1 Daejeon Citizen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gangwon FC40%fair 2.50 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @3.20
Daejeon Citizen32%fair 3.09 · @3.45
2.21Expected goals
1.14Gangwon FC xG
1.06Daejeon Citizen xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%

From our goals model: Gangwon FC 1.1 – 1.1 Daejeon Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGangwon FC to win ✓40%2.502.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.381.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.891.90
Draw no betGangwon FC (draw no bet) ✓55%1.81–
Asian handicapDaejeon Citizen +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓66%1.531.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.661.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreGangwon FC to score first ✓46%2.17–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gangwon FC / FT Gangwon FC ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%13.07–

Recent results

Gangwon FC – last 6

DDWLWD
9 May@ Gwangju FC0–0D
5 Mayvs Pohang Steelers1–1D
2 May@ Incheon United1–0W
25 Aprvs FC Seoul1–2L
21 Apr@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC3–0W
18 Aprvs Jeonbuk Motors1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Daejeon Citizen – last 6

LDWWLW
9 Mayvs Pohang Steelers0–2L
5 Mayvs Incheon United0–0D
2 May@ Gwangju FC5–0W
26 Apr@ Ulsan Hyundai FC4–1W
22 Aprvs Jeju United FC0–1L
18 Apr@ FC Seoul1–0W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Daejeon Citizen v Gangwon FC0–2
Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

On our numbers Gangwon FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Daejeon Citizen 32%.

How many goals will there be in Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

Our predicted score is Gangwon FC 1–1 Daejeon Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen?

Gangwon FC vs Daejeon Citizen (K League 1) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Chuncheon Songam Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.