Incheon United 41%Draw 27%Pohang Steelers 32%Expected goals 1.28 – 0.94
80%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Incheon United to win @ 2.60 – our chance 41% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultIncheon United to win ✗41% · @2.60
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.99
Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:30 WAT, Tuesday 12 May: Incheon United v Pohang Steelers in the K League 1, played at Sungui Arena Park. In the table, Incheon United are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Pohang Steelers are 9th with 44.
Current form
Incheon United, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gimcheon Sangmu FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pohang Steelers, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Daejeon Citizen, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Pohang Steelers 1–1 Incheon United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Incheon United 1.3 xG, Pohang Steelers 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Incheon United 41%, draw 27%, Pohang Steelers 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Incheon United to win @2.60 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Incheon United 1–0 Pohang Steelers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Incheon United41%fair 2.45 · @2.60
Draw27%fair 3.64 · @3.10
Pohang Steelers32%fair 3.16 · @2.75
2.21Expected goals
1.28Incheon United xG
0.94Pohang Steelers xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.3 – 0.9 Pohang Steelers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pohang Steelers 32%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–0 Pohang Steelers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers (K League 1) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
