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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gwangju FC v Ulsan Hyundai FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Gwangju Football Stadium
1–1
FT
Gwangju FC 19%Draw 23%Ulsan Hyundai FC 58% Expected goals 1.13 – 1.82
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.05 – our chance 58% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultUlsan Hyundai FC to win ✗58% · @1.48
Double chanceUlsan Hyundai FC or draw ✓81% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.21

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Ulsan Hyundai FC travel to face Gwangju FC on Sunday 5 July in the K League 1, with Gwangju Football Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Gwangju FC are 12th on 23 points after 35 matches; Ulsan Hyundai FC are 2nd with 57. There are 34 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gwangju FC, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Seoul, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Ulsan Hyundai FC, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gangwon FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Ulsan Hyundai FC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Gwangju FC.

Head to head

When they last met (19 Apr 2026) it ended Ulsan Hyundai FC 5–1 Gwangju FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gwangju FC 1.1 xG, Ulsan Hyundai FC 1.8 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gwangju FC 19%, draw 23%, Ulsan Hyundai FC 58%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 2.05.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.05 – the bookmaker implies 49%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gwangju FC 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gwangju FC19%fair 5.38 · @7.00
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @4.10
Ulsan Hyundai FC58%fair 1.72 · @1.48
2.95Expected goals
1.13Gwangju FC xG
1.82Ulsan Hyundai FC xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
2–16%
1–36%

From our goals model: Gwangju FC 1.1 – 1.8 Ulsan Hyundai FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultUlsan Hyundai FC to win ✗58%1.721.48
Double chanceUlsan Hyundai FC or draw ✓81%1.231.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.742.05 ▲
Draw no betUlsan Hyundai FC (draw no bet)76%1.32–
Asian handicapGwangju FC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.441.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.10
First team to scoreUlsan Hyundai FC to score first58%1.71–
Half-time resultUlsan Hyundai FC ahead at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Ulsan Hyundai FC / FT Ulsan Hyundai FC ✗33%3.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.21–

Recent results

Gwangju FC – last 6

LDLLLL
12 Mayvs FC Seoul0–1L
9 Mayvs Gangwon FC0–0D
2 Mayvs Daejeon Citizen0–5L
26 Aprvs FC Anyang2–5L
22 Apr@ Pohang Steelers0–1L
19 Apr@ Ulsan Hyundai FC1–5L
0.5Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Ulsan Hyundai FC – last 6

LWWWLL
17 May@ Gangwon FC0–2L
13 Mayvs Jeju United FC2–1W
10 Mayvs Bucheon FC 19951–0W
5 May@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–1W
2 Mayvs Pohang Steelers0–1L
26 Aprvs Daejeon Citizen1–4L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

19 Apr 2026Ulsan Hyundai FC v Gwangju FC5–1
Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

On our numbers Gwangju FC have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ulsan Hyundai FC 58%.

How many goals will there be in Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Our predicted score is Gwangju FC 1–1 Ulsan Hyundai FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC?

Gwangju FC vs Ulsan Hyundai FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gwangju Football Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.