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FC Seoul v Incheon United: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Seoul World Cup Stadium
1–0
FT
FC Seoul 51%Draw 26%Incheon United 23% Expected goals 1.53 – 0.96
75%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.34 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultFC Seoul to win ✓51% · @1.90
Double chanceFC Seoul or draw ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.73

FC Seoul vs Incheon United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

FC Seoul welcome Incheon United to Seoul World Cup Stadium for a K League 1 fixture on Sunday 5 July (11:30 WAT). In the table, FC Seoul are 1st on 67 points after 35 matches; Incheon United are 6th with 49. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

FC Seoul, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Daejeon Citizen, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Incheon United, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pohang Steelers, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Incheon United 1–2 FC Seoul.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give FC Seoul 1.5 xG, Incheon United 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – FC Seoul 51%, draw 26%, Incheon United 23%.
  • Lower-risk option: FC Seoul or draw (77%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.77.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

FC Seoul51%fair 1.96 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @3.40
Incheon United23%fair 4.36 · @4.00
2.49Expected goals
1.53FC Seoul xG
0.96Incheon United xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–013%
1–112%
2–010%
2–19%
0–08%
0–18%

From our goals model: FC Seoul 1.5 – 1.0 Incheon United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Seoul to win ✓51%1.961.90
Double chanceFC Seoul or draw ✓77%1.301.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.781.77
Draw no betFC Seoul (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapIncheon United +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.411.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75%1.341.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.141.09
First team to scoreFC Seoul to score first ✓56%1.77–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Seoul / FT FC Seoul ✗30%3.30–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.73–

Recent results

FC Seoul – last 6

WWLDLW
16 May@ Daejeon Citizen2–1W
12 May@ Gwangju FC1–0W
9 May@ Jeju United FC1–2L
5 Mayvs FC Anyang0–0D
2 Mayvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–3L
25 Apr@ Gangwon FC2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Incheon United – last 6

LWDLWW
12 Mayvs Pohang Steelers0–1L
9 May@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC3–0W
5 May@ Daejeon Citizen0–0D
2 Mayvs Gangwon FC0–1L
25 Aprvs Jeju United FC1–0W
21 Apr@ Jeonbuk Motors2–1W
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Feb 2026Incheon United v FC Seoul1–2
FC Seoul vs Incheon United head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

On our numbers FC Seoul have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Incheon United 23%.

How many goals will there be in FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

Our predicted score is FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is FC Seoul vs Incheon United?

FC Seoul vs Incheon United (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Seoul World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.