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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Incheon United v Jeonbuk Motors: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Sungui Arena Park
1–0
FT
Incheon United 34%Draw 28%Jeonbuk Motors 37% Expected goals 1.14 – 1.11
79%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Incheon United to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJeonbuk Motors to win ✗37% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.49

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

11:30 WAT, Saturday 18 July: Incheon United v Jeonbuk Motors in the K League 1, played at Sungui Arena Park. In the table, Incheon United are 6th on 49 points after 35 matches; Jeonbuk Motors are 5th with 49. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Incheon United, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Anyang, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Jeonbuk Motors, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Ulsan Hyundai FC, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Jeonbuk Motors, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Incheon United.

Head to head

When they last met (21 Apr 2026) it ended Jeonbuk Motors 1–2 Incheon United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Incheon United 1.1 xG, Jeonbuk Motors 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Incheon United 34%, draw 28%, Jeonbuk Motors 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Incheon United to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Incheon United 1–1 Jeonbuk Motors. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Incheon United34%fair 2.90 · @3.20
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @3.20
Jeonbuk Motors37%fair 2.67 · @2.30
2.25Expected goals
1.14Incheon United xG
1.11Jeonbuk Motors xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Incheon United 1.1 – 1.1 Jeonbuk Motors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJeonbuk Motors to win ✗37%2.672.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓72%1.391.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗53%1.901.90
Draw no betJeonbuk Motors (draw no bet) ✗52%1.92–
Asian handicapJeonbuk Motors +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.57–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.511.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓60%1.681.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79%1.261.22
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.06
First team to scoreIncheon United to score first ✓45%2.21–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Incheon United / FT Incheon United ✓20%4.89–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.49–

Recent results

Incheon United – last 6

LLLWDL
12 Julvs FC Anyang0–1L
5 Jul@ FC Seoul0–1L
12 Mayvs Pohang Steelers0–1L
9 May@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC3–0W
5 May@ Daejeon Citizen0–0D
2 Mayvs Gangwon FC0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Jeonbuk Motors – last 6

WLWDDW
11 Jul@ Ulsan Hyundai FC3–1W
4 Julvs Gangwon FC1–2L
17 Mayvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–0W
13 May@ Bucheon FC 19950–0D
10 May@ FC Anyang1–1D
2 May@ Jeju United FC2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

21 Apr 2026Jeonbuk Motors v Incheon United1–2
Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

On our numbers Incheon United have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Jeonbuk Motors 37%.

How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Jeonbuk Motors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Incheon United vs Jeonbuk Motors (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.