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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jeju United FC v Pohang Steelers: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Jeju World Cup Stadium
2–1
FT
Jeju United FC 38%Draw 27%Pohang Steelers 35% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.02
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Jeju United FC to win @ 2.95 – our chance 38% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJeju United FC to win ✓38% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.35

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 18 July the K League 1 brings Jeju United FC against Pohang Steelers at Jeju World Cup Stadium. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Jeju United FC are 7th on 48 points after 35 matches; Pohang Steelers are 9th with 44.

Current form

Jeju United FC, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Daejeon Citizen, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Pohang Steelers, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Gwangju FC, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 6. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Pohang Steelers, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Jeju United FC.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Apr 2026) it ended Pohang Steelers 0–2 Jeju United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jeju United FC 1.2 xG, Pohang Steelers 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jeju United FC 38%, draw 27%, Pohang Steelers 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.93.
  • Price worth noting: Jeju United FC to win @2.95 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 38%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jeju United FC 1–1 Pohang Steelers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jeju United FC38%fair 2.66 · @2.95
Draw27%fair 3.68 · @3.10
Pohang Steelers35%fair 2.84 · @2.50
2.25Expected goals
1.22Jeju United FC xG
1.02Pohang Steelers xG
53%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Jeju United FC 1.2 – 1.0 Pohang Steelers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJeju United FC to win ✓38%2.662.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73%1.371.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.93
Draw no betJeju United FC (draw no bet) ✓52%1.93–
Asian handicapPohang Steelers +1 (Asian handicap)77%1.30–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.531.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.251.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.101.05
First team to scoreJeju United FC to score first ✗49%2.05–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Jeju United FC / FT Jeju United FC ✗23%4.29–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8%12.35–

Recent results

Jeju United FC – last 6

DDLLWL
12 Julvs Daejeon Citizen0–0D
5 Jul@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1D
17 Mayvs FC Anyang1–2L
13 May@ Ulsan Hyundai FC1–2L
9 Mayvs FC Seoul2–1W
2 Mayvs Jeonbuk Motors0–2L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Pohang Steelers – last 6

WWLWWD
11 Jul@ Gwangju FC3–0W
4 Jul@ FC Anyang3–2W
17 May@ Bucheon FC 19950–2L
12 May@ Incheon United1–0W
9 May@ Daejeon Citizen2–0W
5 May@ Gangwon FC1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Apr 2026Pohang Steelers v Jeju United FC0–2
Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers?

On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Pohang Steelers 35%.

How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers?

Our predicted score is Jeju United FC 1–1 Pohang Steelers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers?

Jeju United FC vs Pohang Steelers (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 18 July 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.