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Daejeon Citizen v Gwangju FC: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Daejeon World Cup Stadium
2–0
FT
Daejeon Citizen 65%Draw 22%Gwangju FC 13% Expected goals 2.01 – 0.84
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.28Odds

Picks by market

ResultDaejeon Citizen to win ✓65% · @1.48
Double chanceDaejeon Citizen or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.18

Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Daejeon Citizen welcome Gwangju FC to Daejeon World Cup Stadium for a K League 1 fixture on Sunday 2 August (11:30 WAT). In the table, Daejeon Citizen are 3rd on 53 points after 35 matches; Gwangju FC are 12th with 23. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Daejeon Citizen, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Gimcheon Sangmu FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Gwangju FC, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cheonan City, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Head to head

When they last met (2 May 2026) it ended Gwangju FC 0–5 Daejeon Citizen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Daejeon Citizen 2.0 xG, Gwangju FC 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Daejeon Citizen 65%, draw 22%, Gwangju FC 13%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Daejeon Citizen 2–0 Gwangju FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Daejeon Citizen65%fair 1.54 · @1.48
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @4.10
Gwangju FC13%fair 7.58 · @6.50
2.85Expected goals
2.01Daejeon Citizen xG
0.84Gwangju FC xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Daejeon Citizen 2.0 – 0.8 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDaejeon Citizen to win ✓65%1.541.48
Double chanceDaejeon Citizen or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.801.91 ▲
Draw no betDaejeon Citizen (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapDaejeon Citizen -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.901.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.451.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.191.12
First team to scoreDaejeon Citizen to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultDaejeon Citizen ahead at half-time ✗46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Daejeon Citizen / FT Daejeon Citizen ✗41%2.42–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.18–

Recent results

Daejeon Citizen – last 6

LDDDDL
25 Jul@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC2–3L
21 Jul@ Jeonbuk Motors0–0D
18 Julvs Ulsan Hyundai FC2–2D
12 Jul@ Jeju United FC0–0D
4 Julvs Bucheon FC 19952–2D
16 Mayvs FC Seoul1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Gwangju FC – last 6

WLDDLD
29 Julvs Cheonan City1–0W
26 Julvs Jeju United FC1–2L
22 Julvs Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1D
19 Jul@ FC Anyang1–1D
11 Julvs Pohang Steelers0–3L
5 Julvs Ulsan Hyundai FC1–1D
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 May 2026Gwangju FC v Daejeon Citizen0–5
Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.

Who will win Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

On our numbers Daejeon Citizen have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gwangju FC 13%.

How many goals will there be in Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

Our predicted score is Daejeon Citizen 2–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC?

Daejeon Citizen vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Daejeon World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.