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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Jeju United FC v Incheon United: numbers & prediction

K League 1 · South-Korea · Jeju World Cup Stadium
3–3
FT
Jeju United FC 34%Draw 29%Incheon United 37% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.11
80%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultIncheon United to win ✗37% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.45

Jeju United FC vs Incheon United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 2 August the K League 1 brings Jeju United FC against Incheon United at Jeju World Cup Stadium. Kick-off: 11:30 WAT. In the table, Jeju United FC are 7th on 48 points after 35 matches; Incheon United are 6th with 49. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Jeju United FC, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hwaseong, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Incheon United, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gimpo Citizen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Jeju United FC, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Incheon United.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Apr 2026) it ended Incheon United 1–0 Jeju United FC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Jeju United FC 1.1 xG, Incheon United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Jeju United FC 34%, draw 29%, Incheon United 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (80%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jeju United FC 1–1 Incheon United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Jeju United FC34%fair 2.93 · @3.10
Draw29%fair 3.48 · @3.00
Incheon United37%fair 2.69 · @2.38
2.20Expected goals
1.09Jeju United FC xG
1.11Incheon United xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Jeju United FC 1.1 – 1.1 Incheon United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIncheon United to win ✗37%2.692.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.401.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.91
Draw no betIncheon United (draw no bet)52%1.92–
Asian handicapJeju United FC +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.541.45
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80%1.251.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗91%1.101.06
First team to scoreIncheon United to score first45%2.23–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.11–
Half-time / full-timeHT Incheon United / FT Incheon United ✗20%4.96–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.45–

Recent results

Jeju United FC – last 6

DWDWDD
29 Julvs Hwaseong2–2D
26 Jul@ Gwangju FC2–1W
21 Julvs Gangwon FC1–1D
18 Julvs Pohang Steelers2–1W
12 Julvs Daejeon Citizen0–0D
5 Jul@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Incheon United – last 6

LDWWLL
29 Jul@ Gimpo Citizen0–1L
26 Julvs Bucheon FC 19951–1D
21 Jul@ Ulsan Hyundai FC2–1W
18 Julvs Jeonbuk Motors1–0W
12 Julvs FC Anyang0–1L
5 Jul@ FC Seoul0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Apr 2026Incheon United v Jeju United FC1–0
Jeju United FC vs Incheon United head-to-head page →

K League 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Seoul332076+3267
2Ulsan Hyundai FC3315612+551
3Daejeon Citizen33131010+1249
4Jeonbuk Motors3312129+1048
5Gangwon FC3311157+1048
6Incheon United33121011+846
7Jeju United FC33121011+246
8FC Anyang33101310-843
9Pohang Steelers3311913-942
10Gimcheon Sangmu FC335199-834
11Bucheon FC 19953371115-1532
12Gwangju FC3331218-3921

More K League 1 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Incheon United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Jeju United FC vs Incheon United?

On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Incheon United 37%.

How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Incheon United?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Jeju United FC vs Incheon United?

Our predicted score is Jeju United FC 1–1 Incheon United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Jeju United FC vs Incheon United?

Jeju United FC vs Incheon United (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.