Value bet: Aragvi Dusheti to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultGareji to win40% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–111% · fair 8.72
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gareji travel to face Aragvi Dusheti on Sunday 10 May in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with Tsentraluri Stadioni the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Aragvi Dusheti are 6th, lower half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Gareji are 1st (leading the league) with 57. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aragvi Dusheti, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Samtredia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gareji, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Telavi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gareji, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Aragvi Dusheti.
Head to head
When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Gareji 1–0 Aragvi Dusheti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aragvi Dusheti 1.2 xG, Gareji 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aragvi Dusheti 34%, draw 27%, Gareji 40%.
Price worth noting: Aragvi Dusheti to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Gareji. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aragvi Dusheti34%fair 2.97 · @3.20
Draw27%fair 3.76 · @3.10
Gareji40%fair 2.51 · @2.10
2.28Expected goals
1.16Aragvi Dusheti xG
1.12Gareji xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Aragvi Dusheti 1.2 – 1.1 Gareji expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
On our numbers Aragvi Dusheti have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Gareji 40%.
How many goals will there be in Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Our predicted score is Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Gareji, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentraluri Stadioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
