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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gareji v Merani Martvili: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Central stadium

Gareji

WDWWL
1–0
FT
Gareji 45%Draw 25%Merani Martvili 30% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.03
57%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultGareji to win ✓45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.22

Gareji vs Merani Martvili: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Gareji welcome Merani Martvili to Central stadium for a Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture on Wednesday 20 May (13:00 WAT). In the table, Gareji are 1st, leading the league, on 57 points after 32 matches; Merani Martvili are 5th (upper half) with 43. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gareji, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Telavi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Merani Martvili, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Odishi 1919, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Merani Martvili 1–0 Gareji.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gareji 1.4 xG, Merani Martvili 1.0 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gareji 45%, draw 25%, Merani Martvili 30%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gareji 1–1 Merani Martvili. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gareji45%fair 2.23 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.10
Merani Martvili30%fair 3.37 · @2.80
2.47Expected goals
1.43Gareji xG
1.03Merani Martvili xG
47%Both score
43%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
2–19%
0–19%
2–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: Gareji 1.4 – 1.0 Merani Martvili expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGareji to win ✓45%2.232.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.87–
Draw no betGareji (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapMerani Martvili +1 (Asian handicap)70%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓57%1.761.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
First team to scoreGareji to score first ✓53%1.88–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gareji / FT Gareji ✗27%3.66–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12%8.22–

Recent results

Gareji – last 6

WDWWLW
6 Mayvs Telavi2–0W
2 May@ Odishi 19191–1D
22 Aprvs Gori1–0W
7 Aprvs Sioni2–0W
3 Apr@ Merani Martvili0–1L
15 Marvs Kolkheti Poti2–1W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Merani Martvili – last 6

WDWWLW
10 May@ Odishi 19192–1W
6 Mayvs Shturmi0–0D
26 Apr@ Samtredia4–1W
22 Aprvs Sioni2–1W
7 Apr@ Kolkheti Poti1–5L
3 Aprvs Gareji1–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Merani Martvili v Gareji1–0
Gareji vs Merani Martvili head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

On our numbers Gareji have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Merani Martvili 30%.

How many goals will there be in Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

Our predicted score is Gareji 1–1 Merani Martvili, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

Gareji vs Merani Martvili (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 20 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Central stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.