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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Samtredia v Telavi: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium
0–3
FT

Telavi

WLLDD
Samtredia 49%Draw 24%Telavi 26% Expected goals 1.66 – 0.97
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultSamtredia to win ✗49% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.38

Samtredia vs Telavi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 24 May the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Samtredia against Telavi at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Samtredia are 4th, among the top four, on 46 points after 32 matches; Telavi are 3rd (among the top four) with 47. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Samtredia, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Odishi 1919, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Telavi, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sioni, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (7 Apr 2026) it ended Telavi 2–0 Samtredia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Samtredia 1.7 xG, Telavi 1.0 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 48%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Samtredia 49%, draw 24%, Telavi 26%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samtredia 1–0 Telavi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Samtredia49%fair 2.04 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Telavi26%fair 3.79 · @3.10
2.63Expected goals
1.66Samtredia xG
0.97Telavi xG
48%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–012%
1–112%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%

From our goals model: Samtredia 1.7 – 1.0 Telavi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSamtredia to win ✗49%2.042.15 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓52%1.91–
Draw no betSamtredia (draw no bet) ✗65%1.54–
Asian handicapTelavi +1 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreSamtredia to score first ✗58%1.71–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Samtredia / FT Samtredia ✗33%3.07–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12%8.38–

Recent results

Samtredia – last 6

DWLWLW
20 May@ Odishi 19191–1D
6 Mayvs Aragvi Dusheti2–0W
26 Aprvs Merani Martvili1–4L
22 Apr@ Kolkheti Poti3–1W
7 Apr@ Telavi0–2L
3 Aprvs Odishi 19192–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Telavi – last 6

WLLDDW
20 Mayvs Sioni2–1W
6 May@ Gareji0–2L
26 Apr@ Odishi 19191–3L
22 Aprvs Shturmi1–1D
17 Apr@ Gori1–1D
7 Aprvs Samtredia2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

7 Apr 2026Telavi v Samtredia2–0
Samtredia vs Telavi head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samtredia vs Telavi?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Samtredia vs Telavi?

On our numbers Samtredia have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Telavi 26%.

How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Telavi?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Telavi?

Our predicted score is Samtredia 1–0 Telavi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Samtredia vs Telavi?

Samtredia vs Telavi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.