Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
1
Value bet: Aragvi Dusheti to win @ 3.10 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAragvi Dusheti to win ✗38% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.05
Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aragvi Dusheti welcome Merani Martvili to Tsentraluri Stadioni for a Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture on Friday 29 May (18:00 WAT). In the table, Aragvi Dusheti are 6th, lower half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Merani Martvili are 5th (upper half) with 43. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Aragvi Dusheti, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shturmi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Merani Martvili, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kolkheti Poti, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Merani Martvili, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Aragvi Dusheti.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aragvi Dusheti 1.3 xG, Merani Martvili 1.0 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aragvi Dusheti 38%, draw 28%, Merani Martvili 35%.
Price worth noting: Aragvi Dusheti to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Merani Martvili. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aragvi Dusheti38%fair 2.64 · @3.10
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.80
Merani Martvili35%fair 2.90 · @2.30
2.36Expected goals
1.31Aragvi Dusheti xG
1.04Merani Martvili xG
44%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–19%
2–08%
From our goals model: Aragvi Dusheti 1.3 – 1.0 Merani Martvili expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aragvi Dusheti to win✗
38%
2.64
3.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
72%
1.38
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Aragvi Dusheti (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Merani Martvili +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Aragvi Dusheti to score first
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aragvi Dusheti / FT Aragvi Dusheti✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.05
–
Recent results
Aragvi Dusheti – last 6
LWLWLL
24 May
@ Shturmi
0–2
L
20 May
vs Kolkheti Poti
2–1
W
6 May
@ Samtredia
0–2
L
22 Apr
vs Odishi 1919
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Shturmi
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Kolkheti Poti
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Merani Martvili – last 6
WLWDWW
24 May
vs Kolkheti Poti
1–0
W
20 May
@ Gareji
0–1
L
10 May
@ Odishi 1919
2–1
W
6 May
vs Shturmi
0–0
D
26 Apr
@ Samtredia
4–1
W
22 Apr
vs Sioni
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aragvi Dusheti and Merani Martvili.
What is the prediction for Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili?
On our numbers Aragvi Dusheti have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Merani Martvili 35%.
How many goals will there be in Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili?
Our predicted score is Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Merani Martvili, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili?
Aragvi Dusheti vs Merani Martvili (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Friday 29 May 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentraluri Stadioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
