Value bet: Samtredia to win @ 4.10 – our chance 34% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +40%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMerani Martvili to win ✓43% · @1.73
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.88
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.34
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Samtredia travel to face Merani Martvili on Wednesday 17 June in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Merani Martvili are 5th, upper half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Samtredia are 4th (among the top four) with 46. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Merani Martvili, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sioni, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Samtredia, last 5: DLLDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kolkheti Poti, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Apr 2026) it ended Samtredia 1–4 Merani Martvili.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merani Martvili 1.3 xG, Samtredia 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merani Martvili 43%, draw 23%, Samtredia 34%.
Price worth noting: Samtredia to win @4.10 – the bookmaker implies 24%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (50%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merani Martvili 1–2 Samtredia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merani Martvili43%fair 2.35 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.30
Samtredia34%fair 2.92 · @4.10
2.87Expected goals
1.30Merani Martvili xG
1.57Samtredia xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–17%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Merani Martvili 1.3 – 1.6 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Merani Martvili have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Samtredia 34%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Merani Martvili 1–2 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Merani Martvili vs Samtredia?
Merani Martvili vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Wednesday 17 June 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
