Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
2
Value bet: Samtredia to win @ 4.33 – our chance 32% vs 23% implied by the price (edge +38%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSioni to win ✓44% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.62
Sioni vs Samtredia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 22 June the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Sioni against Samtredia at Tamaz Stepania Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Sioni are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Samtredia are 4th (among the top four) with 46.
Current form
Sioni, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Aragvi Dusheti, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Samtredia, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Merani Martvili, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sioni 1.3 xG, Samtredia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sioni 44%, draw 24%, Samtredia 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Samtredia to win @4.33 – the bookmaker implies 23%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sioni 1–1 Samtredia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sioni44%fair 2.28 · @1.67
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.50
Samtredia32%fair 3.14 · @4.33
2.83Expected goals
1.34Sioni xG
1.48Samtredia xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Sioni 1.3 – 1.5 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sioni to win✓
44%
2.28
1.67
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Draw no bet
Sioni (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Sioni +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Samtredia to score first
49%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Samtredia / FT Samtredia✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.62
–
Recent results
Sioni – last 6
LWDDLD
17 Jun
@ Aragvi Dusheti
2–3
L
13 Jun
vs Merani Martvili
2–0
W
30 May
@ Kolkheti Poti
0–0
D
24 May
vs Gareji
1–1
D
20 May
@ Telavi
1–2
L
6 May
vs Gori
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Samtredia – last 6
LDLLDW
17 Jun
@ Merani Martvili
1–2
L
13 Jun
vs Kolkheti Poti
2–2
D
30 May
@ Gareji
2–3
L
24 May
vs Telavi
0–3
L
20 May
@ Odishi 1919
1–1
D
6 May
vs Aragvi Dusheti
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sioni and Samtredia.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Sioni vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Sioni have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Samtredia 32%.
How many goals will there be in Sioni vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sioni vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Sioni 1–1 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sioni vs Samtredia?
Sioni vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tamaz Stepania Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
