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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Sioni v Shturmi: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Tamaz Stepania Stadium

Sioni

LLWLW
0–1
FT

Shturmi

WLWDD
Sioni 43%Draw 23%Shturmi 34% Expected goals 1.21 – 1.03
59%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds
1

Value bet: Sioni to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSioni to win ✗43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · fair 1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.78

Sioni vs Shturmi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Shturmi travel to face Sioni on Saturday 15 August in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with Tamaz Stepania Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Sioni are 7th, lower half, on 40 points after 32 matches; Shturmi are 2nd (among the top four) with 49.

Current form

Sioni, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Gori, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Shturmi, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Merani Martvili, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Mar 2026) it ended Sioni 1–1 Shturmi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sioni 1.2 xG, Shturmi 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Sioni 43%, draw 23%, Shturmi 34%.
  • Price worth noting: Sioni to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sioni 1–1 Shturmi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sioni43%fair 2.32 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Shturmi34%fair 2.94 · @2.55
2.25Expected goals
1.21Sioni xG
1.03Shturmi xG
47%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%

From our goals model: Sioni 1.2 – 1.0 Shturmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSioni to win ✗43%2.322.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓53%1.87–
Draw no betSioni (draw no bet) ✗56%1.79–
Asian handicapShturmi +1 (Asian handicap) ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗66%1.52–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.08–
First team to scoreSioni to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sioni / FT Sioni ✗23%4.35–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13%7.78–

Recent results

Sioni – last 6

LLWLWD
8 Aug@ Gori1–4L
25 Jul@ Gori0–1L
22 Junvs Samtredia3–2W
17 Jun@ Aragvi Dusheti2–3L
13 Junvs Merani Martvili2–0W
30 May@ Kolkheti Poti0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Shturmi – last 6

WLWDDL
8 Augvs Merani Martvili2–1W
26 Jul@ Samtredia1–2L
26 Jun@ West Georgia2–0W
22 Jun@ Kolkheti Poti0–0D
17 Jun@ Gareji0–0D
13 Junvs Telavi0–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Mar 2026Sioni v Shturmi1–1
Sioni vs Shturmi head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sioni vs Shturmi?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Sioni vs Shturmi?

On our numbers Sioni have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shturmi 34%.

How many goals will there be in Sioni vs Shturmi?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sioni vs Shturmi?

Our predicted score is Sioni 1–1 Shturmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Sioni vs Shturmi?

Sioni vs Shturmi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Tamaz Stepania Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.