Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultShturmi to win ✗64% · @1.65
Double chanceShturmi or draw ✗85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Shturmi vs Samtredia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Shturmi against Samtredia at Sartichala Central Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Shturmi are 2nd, among the top four, on 49 points after 32 matches; Samtredia are 4th (among the top four) with 46. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Shturmi, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sioni, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Samtredia, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Gori, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Head to head
When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Samtredia 2–1 Shturmi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Shturmi 1 win, Samtredia 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 4.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shturmi 1.8 xG, Samtredia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shturmi 64%, draw 22%, Samtredia 15%.
Lower-risk option: Shturmi or draw (85%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shturmi to win (64%, odds 1.65 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shturmi 1–0 Samtredia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shturmi64%fair 1.57 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.60
Samtredia15%fair 6.75 · @4.33
2.59Expected goals
1.84Shturmi xG
0.75Samtredia xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Shturmi 1.8 – 0.7 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Shturmi to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Shturmi vs Samtredia?
On our numbers Shturmi have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Samtredia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Shturmi vs Samtredia?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shturmi vs Samtredia?
Our predicted score is Shturmi 1–0 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Shturmi vs Samtredia?
Shturmi vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sartichala Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
