Value bet: Gareji to win @ 2.90 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGareji to win ✓39% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.41
Merani Martvili vs Gareji: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Merani Martvili welcome Gareji to Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava for a Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture on Sunday 30 August (13:30 WAT). In the table, Merani Martvili are 5th, upper half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Gareji are 1st (leading the league) with 57. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Merani Martvili, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Telavi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Gareji, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Kolkheti Poti, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Gareji, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Merani Martvili.
Head to head
When they last met (20 May 2026) it ended Gareji 1–0 Merani Martvili. The last 2 head-to-heads: Merani Martvili 1 win, Gareji 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Merani Martvili 1.0 xG, Gareji 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Merani Martvili 37%, draw 24%, Gareji 39%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Gareji to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Merani Martvili 0–1 Gareji. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Merani Martvili37%fair 2.73 · @2.30
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.88
Gareji39%fair 2.56 · @2.90
2.05Expected goals
1.00Merani Martvili xG
1.05Gareji xG
50%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–114%
0–114%
1–013%
0–013%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Merani Martvili 1.0 – 1.0 Gareji expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Merani Martvili vs Gareji?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Merani Martvili vs Gareji?
On our numbers Merani Martvili have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gareji 39%.
How many goals will there be in Merani Martvili vs Gareji?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Merani Martvili vs Gareji?
Our predicted score is Merani Martvili 0–1 Gareji, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Merani Martvili vs Gareji?
Merani Martvili vs Gareji (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadioni Murtaz Khurtsilava.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
