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Aragvi Dusheti v Shturmi: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Tsentraluri Stadioni
3–4
FT

Shturmi

LLWWL
Aragvi Dusheti 37%Draw 22%Shturmi 41% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.16
58%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultShturmi to win ✓41% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · fair 1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · fair 1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.07

Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 6 September the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Aragvi Dusheti against Shturmi at Tsentraluri Stadioni. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Aragvi Dusheti are 6th, lower half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Shturmi are 2nd (among the top four) with 49.

Current form

Aragvi Dusheti, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Kolkheti Poti, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Shturmi, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Gori, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Shturmi 2–0 Aragvi Dusheti. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aragvi Dusheti 0 wins, Shturmi 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Aragvi Dusheti 1.1 xG, Shturmi 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 47%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Aragvi Dusheti 37%, draw 22%, Shturmi 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Shturmi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Aragvi Dusheti37%fair 2.69 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Shturmi41%fair 2.43 · @2.55
2.23Expected goals
1.08Aragvi Dusheti xG
1.16Shturmi xG
47%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Aragvi Dusheti 1.1 – 1.2 Shturmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShturmi to win ✓41%2.432.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.28–
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.89–
Draw no betShturmi (draw no bet) ✓53%1.90–
Asian handicapAragvi Dusheti +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓65%1.53–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.711.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81%1.23–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.08–
First team to scoreShturmi to score first ✓46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.13–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shturmi / FT Shturmi ✓21%4.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12%8.07–

Recent results

Aragvi Dusheti – last 6

DDWWLW
30 Aug@ Kolkheti Poti1–1D
26 Aug@ Gagra0–0D
22 Augvs Gori1–0W
15 Aug@ Gareji2–0W
8 Augvs Samtredia2–4L
2 Aug@ Guria2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Shturmi – last 6

LLWWLW
30 Aug@ Gori1–3L
22 Augvs Samtredia0–1L
15 Aug@ Sioni1–0W
8 Augvs Merani Martvili2–1W
26 Jul@ Samtredia1–2L
26 Jun@ West Georgia2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Shturmi v Aragvi Dusheti2–0
7 Apr 2026Aragvi Dusheti v Shturmi0–2
Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi?

On our numbers Aragvi Dusheti have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shturmi 41%.

How many goals will there be in Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi?

Our predicted score is Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Shturmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi?

Aragvi Dusheti vs Shturmi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentraluri Stadioni.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.