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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Telavi v Samtredia: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Kavkasioni Arena

Telavi

LWDDL
0–3
FT
Telavi 62%Draw 25%Samtredia 14% Expected goals 1.78 – 0.73
62%
Betarazi pick

Telavi to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultTelavi to win ✗62% · @1.80
Double chanceTelavi or draw ✗86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.84
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.91

Telavi vs Samtredia: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Telavi welcome Samtredia to Kavkasioni Arena for a Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture on Monday 7 September (17:00 WAT). In the table, Telavi are 3rd, among the top four, on 47 points after 32 matches; Samtredia are 4th (among the top four) with 46. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Telavi, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sioni, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Samtredia, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over FC Iberia 1999, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Samtredia, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Telavi.

Head to head

When they last met (24 May 2026) it ended Samtredia 0–3 Telavi. The last 2 head-to-heads: Telavi 2 wins, Samtredia 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Telavi 1.8 xG, Samtredia 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 46%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Telavi 62%, draw 25%, Samtredia 14%.
  • Lower-risk option: Telavi or draw (86%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Telavi to win (62%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.63, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Telavi 1–0 Samtredia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Telavi62%fair 1.63 · @1.80
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.40
Samtredia14%fair 7.17 · @3.80
2.51Expected goals
1.78Telavi xG
0.73Samtredia xG
46%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%

From our goals model: Telavi 1.8 – 0.7 Samtredia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTelavi to win ✗62%1.631.80 ▲
Double chanceTelavi or draw ✗86%1.161.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓54%1.84–
Draw no betTelavi (draw no bet) ✗82%1.23–
Asian handicapTelavi -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreTelavi to score first ✗65%1.54–
Half-time resultTelavi ahead at half-time ✗44%2.28–
Half-time / full-timeHT Telavi / FT Telavi ✗39%2.55–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14%6.91–

Recent results

Telavi – last 6

LWDDLW
29 Aug@ Sioni1–2L
22 Augvs Merani Martvili1–0W
15 Aug@ Kolkheti Poti1–1D
8 Augvs Gareji0–0D
2 Aug@ Dinamo Batumi0–1L
26 Jul@ Saburtalo II1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Samtredia – last 6

WWWWWW
2 Sepvs FC Iberia 19992–0W
28 Augvs Odishi 19193–0W
22 Aug@ Shturmi1–0W
15 Augvs Gori1–0W
8 Aug@ Aragvi Dusheti4–2W
26 Julvs Shturmi2–1W
2.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 May 2026Samtredia v Telavi0–3
7 Apr 2026Telavi v Samtredia2–0
Telavi vs Samtredia head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Telavi vs Samtredia?

Our pick is Telavi to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Telavi vs Samtredia?

On our numbers Telavi have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Samtredia 14%.

How many goals will there be in Telavi vs Samtredia?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Telavi vs Samtredia?

Our predicted score is Telavi 1–0 Samtredia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Telavi vs Samtredia?

Telavi vs Samtredia (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Kavkasioni Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.