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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Shturmi v Gareji: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Sartichala Central Stadium

Shturmi

DWWLL
1–0
FT

Gareji

WLDWW
Shturmi 58%Draw 23%Gareji 19% Expected goals 1.62 – 0.80
58%
Betarazi pick

Shturmi to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.73 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.80Odds

Picks by market

ResultShturmi to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceShturmi or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 6.94

Shturmi vs Gareji: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 20 September the Erovnuli Liga 2 brings Shturmi against Gareji at Sartichala Central Stadium. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Shturmi are 2nd, among the top four, on 49 points after 32 matches; Gareji are 1st (leading the league) with 57.

Current form

Shturmi, last 5: DWWLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Telavi, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Gareji, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gori, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Jun 2026) it ended Gareji 0–0 Shturmi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Shturmi 1.6 xG, Gareji 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 43%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Shturmi 58%, draw 23%, Gareji 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Shturmi or draw (81%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Shturmi to win (58%, odds 1.80 – longer than our fair 1.73, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shturmi 1–0 Gareji. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Shturmi58%fair 1.73 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.27 · @3.40
Gareji19%fair 5.29 · @3.80
2.42Expected goals
1.62Shturmi xG
0.80Gareji xG
43%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: Shturmi 1.6 – 0.8 Gareji expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultShturmi to win ✓58%1.731.80
Double chanceShturmi or draw ✓81%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betShturmi (draw no bet) ✓75%1.33–
Asian handicapGareji +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.90
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.29–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreShturmi to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Shturmi / FT Shturmi ✗35%2.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14%6.94–

Recent results

Shturmi – last 6

DWWLLW
16 Sep@ Telavi1–1D
12 Sepvs Odishi 19192–0W
6 Sep@ Aragvi Dusheti4–3W
30 Aug@ Gori1–3L
22 Augvs Samtredia0–1L
15 Aug@ Sioni1–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gareji – last 6

WLDWWL
16 Sepvs Gori2–1W
12 Sep@ Samtredia1–6L
6 Sepvs Sioni3–3D
30 Aug@ Merani Martvili2–1W
22 Augvs Kolkheti Poti3–2W
15 Augvs Aragvi Dusheti0–2L
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Jun 2026Gareji v Shturmi0–0
Shturmi vs Gareji head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shturmi vs Gareji?

Our pick is Shturmi to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.

Who will win Shturmi vs Gareji?

On our numbers Shturmi have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gareji 19%.

How many goals will there be in Shturmi vs Gareji?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Shturmi vs Gareji?

Our predicted score is Shturmi 1–0 Gareji, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Shturmi vs Gareji?

Shturmi vs Gareji (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Sartichala Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.