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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Samtredia v Sioni: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium
3–0
FT

Sioni

LLDDW
Samtredia 57%Draw 22%Sioni 20% Expected goals 1.86 – 1.01
57%
Betarazi pick

Samtredia to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.74 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.73Odds

Picks by market

ResultSamtredia to win ✓57% · @1.73
Double chanceSamtredia or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.98
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓6% · fair 16.51

Samtredia vs Sioni: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sioni travel to face Samtredia on Saturday 10 October in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Samtredia are 4th, among the top four, on 46 points after 32 matches; Sioni are 7th (lower half) with 40.

Current form

Samtredia, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Rustavi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Sioni, last 5: LLDDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Aragvi Dusheti, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Samtredia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Sioni.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended Sioni 3–2 Samtredia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Samtredia 1.9 xG, Sioni 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Samtredia 57%, draw 22%, Sioni 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Samtredia or draw (80%) at 1.18.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Samtredia to win (57%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samtredia 1–0 Sioni. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Samtredia57%fair 1.74 · @1.73
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.60
Sioni20%fair 4.88 · @3.80
2.87Expected goals
1.86Samtredia xG
1.01Sioni xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Samtredia 1.9 – 1.0 Sioni expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSamtredia to win ✓57%1.741.73
Double chanceSamtredia or draw ✓80%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.98–
Draw no betSamtredia (draw no bet) ✓74%1.36–
Asian handicapSioni +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.841.75
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreSamtredia to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultSamtredia ahead at half-time ✓42%2.40–
Half-time / full-timeHT Samtredia / FT Samtredia ✓36%2.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓6%16.51–

Recent results

Samtredia – last 6

LWLWWW
26 Sepvs Rustavi1–2L
20 Sepvs Merani Martvili5–0W
16 Sep@ Kolkheti Poti0–1L
12 Sepvs Gareji6–1W
7 Sep@ Telavi3–0W
2 Sepvs FC Iberia 19992–0W
2.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Sioni – last 6

LLDDWW
20 Sepvs Aragvi Dusheti1–2L
16 Sep@ Merani Martvili1–2L
12 Sepvs Kolkheti Poti1–1D
6 Sep@ Gareji3–3D
29 Augvs Telavi2–1W
22 Aug@ Odishi 19191–0W
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jun 2026Sioni v Samtredia3–2
Samtredia vs Sioni head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samtredia vs Sioni?

Our pick is Samtredia to win with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.

Who will win Samtredia vs Sioni?

On our numbers Samtredia have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sioni 20%.

How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Sioni?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Sioni?

Our predicted score is Samtredia 1–0 Sioni, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Samtredia vs Sioni?

Samtredia vs Sioni (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.