Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 10.15
Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aragvi Dusheti travel to face Samtredia on Saturday 17 October in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Samtredia are 4th, among the top four, on 46 points after 32 matches; Aragvi Dusheti are 6th (lower half) with 43. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Samtredia, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sioni, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aragvi Dusheti, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Telavi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Samtredia, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Aragvi Dusheti.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended Aragvi Dusheti 2–4 Samtredia. The last 3 head-to-heads: Samtredia 2 wins, Aragvi Dusheti 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samtredia 2.4 xG, Aragvi Dusheti 0.7 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 45%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samtredia 71%, draw 21%, Aragvi Dusheti 8%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Samtredia to win (71%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samtredia 2–0 Aragvi Dusheti. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samtredia71%fair 1.40 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @5.25
Aragvi Dusheti8%fair 13.12 · @9.50
3.12Expected goals
2.37Samtredia xG
0.74Aragvi Dusheti xG
45%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Samtredia 2.4 – 0.7 Aragvi Dusheti expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our pick is Samtredia to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
On our numbers Samtredia have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Aragvi Dusheti 8%.
How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Our predicted score is Samtredia 2–0 Aragvi Dusheti, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti?
Samtredia vs Aragvi Dusheti (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
