Value bet: Gareji to win @ 2.70 – our chance 40% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGareji to win ✗40% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.94
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗11% · fair 9.34
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aragvi Dusheti welcome Gareji to Tsentraluri Stadioni for a Erovnuli Liga 2 fixture on Saturday 24 October (18:00 WAT). In the table, Aragvi Dusheti are 6th, lower half, on 43 points after 32 matches; Gareji are 1st (leading the league) with 57. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Aragvi Dusheti, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Samtredia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Gareji, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Telavi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Aug 2026) it ended Gareji 0–2 Aragvi Dusheti. The last 2 head-to-heads: Aragvi Dusheti 1 win, Gareji 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.5 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aragvi Dusheti 1.2 xG, Gareji 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aragvi Dusheti 37%, draw 23%, Gareji 40%.
Price worth noting: Gareji to win @2.70 – the bookmaker implies 37%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (55%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Gareji. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aragvi Dusheti37%fair 2.68 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Gareji40%fair 2.51 · @2.70
2.46Expected goals
1.21Aragvi Dusheti xG
1.26Gareji xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Aragvi Dusheti 1.2 – 1.3 Gareji expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
On our numbers Aragvi Dusheti have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gareji 40%.
How many goals will there be in Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Our predicted score is Aragvi Dusheti 1–1 Gareji, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji?
Aragvi Dusheti vs Gareji (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Tsentraluri Stadioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
