Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Samtredia to win @ 1.91 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSamtredia to win ✓59% · @1.91
Double chanceSamtredia or draw ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Samtredia vs Shturmi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 31 October: Samtredia v Shturmi in the Erovnuli Liga 2, played at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium. In the table, Samtredia are 4th, among the top four, on 46 points after 32 matches; Shturmi are 2nd (among the top four) with 49. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Samtredia, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gori, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Shturmi, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sioni, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Shturmi, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Samtredia.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Aug 2026) it ended Shturmi 0–1 Samtredia. The last 3 head-to-heads: Samtredia 2 wins, Shturmi 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Samtredia 1.7 xG, Shturmi 0.8 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Samtredia 59%, draw 22%, Shturmi 19%.
Lower-risk option: Samtredia or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Price worth noting: Samtredia to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Samtredia or draw (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samtredia 1–0 Shturmi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Samtredia59%fair 1.69 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Shturmi19%fair 5.40 · @3.40
2.58Expected goals
1.73Samtredia xG
0.84Shturmi xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Samtredia 1.7 – 0.8 Shturmi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Samtredia or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Samtredia vs Shturmi?
On our numbers Samtredia have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Shturmi 19%.
How many goals will there be in Samtredia vs Shturmi?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Samtredia vs Shturmi?
Our predicted score is Samtredia 1–0 Shturmi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Samtredia vs Shturmi?
Samtredia vs Shturmi (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Erosi Manjgaladze Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
