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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gareji v Merani Martvili: numbers & prediction

Erovnuli Liga 2 · Georgia · Central stadium

Gareji

LDWLL
3–0
FT
Gareji 42%Draw 22%Merani Martvili 36% Expected goals 1.30 – 1.18
56%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.77 · bookmaker 1.69 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
1.69Odds

Picks by market

ResultGareji to win ✓42% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.69
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95

Gareji vs Merani Martvili: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Merani Martvili travel to face Gareji on Saturday 7 November in the Erovnuli Liga 2, with Central stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 11:30 WAT. In the table, Gareji are 1st, leading the league, on 57 points after 32 matches; Merani Martvili are 5th (upper half) with 43. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gareji, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Kolkheti Poti, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Merani Martvili, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Telavi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Aug 2026) it ended Merani Martvili 1–2 Gareji. The last 3 head-to-heads: Gareji 2 wins, Merani Martvili 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.7 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gareji 1.3 xG, Merani Martvili 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gareji 42%, draw 22%, Merani Martvili 36%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.69.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.69). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gareji 1–1 Merani Martvili. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gareji42%fair 2.38 · @2.40
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.25
Merani Martvili36%fair 2.77 · @2.55
2.49Expected goals
1.30Gareji xG
1.18Merani Martvili xG
56%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Gareji 1.3 – 1.2 Merani Martvili expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGareji to win ✓42%2.382.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗56%1.771.69
Draw no betGareji (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapMerani Martvili +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.41–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗53%1.891.85
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreGareji to score first ✓48%2.08–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.26–
Half-time / full-timeHT Gareji / FT Gareji ✗23%4.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.95–

Recent results

Gareji – last 6

LDWLLW
31 Oct@ Kolkheti Poti0–3L
24 Oct@ Aragvi Dusheti0–0D
17 Octvs Telavi2–1W
10 Oct@ Odishi 19190–1L
20 Sep@ Shturmi0–1L
16 Sepvs Gori2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Merani Martvili – last 6

WLWLLW
31 Octvs Telavi2–0W
24 Oct@ Odishi 19190–3L
17 Octvs Shturmi3–1W
10 Oct@ Gori1–2L
20 Sep@ Samtredia0–5L
16 Sepvs Sioni2–1W
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Aug 2026Merani Martvili v Gareji1–2
20 May 2026Gareji v Merani Martvili1–0
3 Apr 2026Merani Martvili v Gareji1–0
Gareji vs Merani Martvili head-to-head page →

Erovnuli Liga 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Gareji321697+757
2Shturmi3213109+349
3Telavi3212119+347
4Samtredia3214414+1546
5Merani Martvili3212713-743
6Aragvi Dusheti3212713-843
7Sioni32101012-140
8Odishi 19193210913-1139
9Gori3291013-637
10Kolkheti Poti3281113+535

More Erovnuli Liga 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.69.

Who will win Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

On our numbers Gareji have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Merani Martvili 36%.

How many goals will there be in Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

Our predicted score is Gareji 1–1 Merani Martvili, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Gareji vs Merani Martvili?

Gareji vs Merani Martvili (Erovnuli Liga 2) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Central stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.