Value bet: Naxxar Lions to win @ 2.88 – our chance 47% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNaxxar Lions to win ✓47% · @2.88
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Tuesday 17 February: Naxxar Lions v Gzira United in the Premier League, played at Victor Tedesco Stadium.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Naxxar Lions 1.9 xG, Gzira United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Naxxar Lions 47%, draw 23%, Gzira United 31%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Naxxar Lions to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 47%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Naxxar Lions 1–1 Gzira United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Naxxar Lions47%fair 2.13 · @2.88
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.20
Gzira United31%fair 3.27 · @2.25
2.93Expected goals
1.87Naxxar Lions xG
1.06Gzira United xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Naxxar Lions 1.9 – 1.1 Gzira United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Naxxar Lions to win✓
47%
2.13
2.88 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Draw no bet
Naxxar Lions (draw no bet)✓
61%
1.65
–
Asian handicap
Gzira United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Naxxar Lions to score first✓
60%
1.66
–
Half-time result
Naxxar Lions ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Naxxar Lions / FT Naxxar Lions✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Naxxar Lions
No recent results on record.
Gzira United – last 1
L
13 Feb
vs Valletta FC
0–2
L
0.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Naxxar Lions and Gzira United.
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?
On our numbers Naxxar Lions have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gzira United 31%.
How many goals will there be in Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?
Our predicted score is Naxxar Lions 1–1 Gzira United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United?
Naxxar Lions vs Gzira United (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Victor Tedesco Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
