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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Birkirkara v Sliema Wanderers: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Malta · Tony Bezzina Stadium
Birkirkara 33%Draw 29%Sliema Wanderers 38% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.14
64%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1

Value bet: Birkirkara to win @ 3.35 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSliema Wanderers to win ✗38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.14

Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sliema Wanderers travel to face Birkirkara on Tuesday 17 February in the Premier League, with Tony Bezzina Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Birkirkara are 7th on 16 points after 12 matches; Sliema Wanderers are 3rd with 21.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Birkirkara 1.1 xG, Sliema Wanderers 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 38%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Birkirkara 33%, draw 29%, Sliema Wanderers 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
  • Price worth noting: Birkirkara to win @3.35 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (64%, odds 1.48). Most likely score in line with that pick: Birkirkara 1–1 Sliema Wanderers. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Birkirkara33%fair 3.06 · @3.35
Draw29%fair 3.46 · @2.90
Sliema Wanderers38%fair 2.60 · @2.20
2.22Expected goals
1.08Birkirkara xG
1.14Sliema Wanderers xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–112%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
2–17%

From our goals model: Birkirkara 1.1 – 1.1 Sliema Wanderers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSliema Wanderers to win ✗38%2.602.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗71%1.411.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.962.00
Draw no betSliema Wanderers (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapBirkirkara +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓64%1.571.48
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.50
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80%1.241.17
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.08–
First team to scoreSliema Wanderers to score first ✗46%2.19–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗47%2.12–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sliema Wanderers / FT Sliema Wanderers ✗21%4.79–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%13.14–

Recent results

Birkirkara

No recent results on record.

Sliema Wanderers

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Birkirkara and Sliema Wanderers.

Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Valletta FC11812+1425
2Marsaxlokk11623+720
3Sliema Wanderers11533+118
4Hamrun Spartans11452+417
5Floriana11443+716
6Hibernians11443-216
7Birkirkara11434+315
8Zabbar St. Patrick11425+114
9Mosta11353-514
10Balzan FC11254-111
11Birzebbuga11137-126
12Gzira United11056-175

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.

Who will win Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?

On our numbers Birkirkara have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sliema Wanderers 38%.

How many goals will there be in Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?

Our predicted score is Birkirkara 1–1 Sliema Wanderers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers?

Birkirkara vs Sliema Wanderers (Premier League) kicks off on Tuesday 17 February 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Tony Bezzina Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.